Прогнозы по кинонаградам Оскаровского сезона 2023-2024

[Lynx_lynx]

BEST STUDIO FILM SCORE

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

BEST INDEPENDENT FILM SCORE

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Alternative: American Symphony

 

BEST SONG FOR A MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: What Was I Made For?

Alternative: I’m Just Ken

 

BEST SONG FOR A DRAMA/DOCUMENTARY

Winner: It Never Went Away

Alternative: Road to Freedom

 

12.02.2024

Изменено 11.02.2024 14:05 пользователем Lynx_lynx

[Lynx_lynx]

Best Feature

Winner: Past Lives

Alternative: American Fiction

 

Best Director

Winner: Celine Song

Alternative: Todd Haynes

 

Best Lead Performance

Winner: Greta Lee

Alternative: Jeffrey Wright

 

Best Supporting Performance

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph

Alternative: Charles Melton

 

Best Breakthrough Performance

Winner: Dominic Sessa

Alternative: Tia Nomore

 

Best Screenplay

Winner: Past Lives

Alternative: American Fiction

 

Best First Feature

Winner: A Thousand and One

Alternative: Earth Mama

 

Best First Screenplay

Winner: May December

Alternative: Upon Entry

 

Best Documentary Feature

Winner: Four Daughters

Alternative: The Mother of All Lies

 

Best International Film

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

 

Best Cinematography

Winner: All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt

Alternative: The Holdovers

 

Best Editing

Winner: How to Blow Up a Pipeline

Alternative: Upon Entry

 

John Cassavetes Award

Winner: The Unknown Country

Alternative: Fremont

 

24.02.2024

Изменено 23.02.2024 11:46 пользователем Lynx_lynx

[subic]

Этап 9. Прогнозы победителей Art Directors Guild Awards (ADG)

 

Period Film

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Fantasy Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Contemporary Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Animated Film

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: The Boy and the Heron

 

09 февраля 23:59

Изменено 09.02.2024 08:57 пользователем subic

[subic]

10 Этап: Прогнозы победителей Directors Guild of America Awards (DGA)

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film

Winner: Christopher Nolan

Alternative: Yorgos Lanthimos

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film

Winner: Celine Song

Alternative: Cord Jefferson

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

 

09 февраля 23:59

Изменено 09.02.2024 08:54 пользователем subic

[ORANGE'71]

Period Film

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Fantasy Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Contemporary Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Animated Film

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: The Boy and the Heron

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 09 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 05.02.2024 10:59 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film

Winner: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film

Winner: Celine Song, Past Lives

Alternative: Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 09 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 09.02.2024 09:17 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Contemporary Feature Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Period Feature Film

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Oppenheimer

 

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Science Fiction or Fantasy Feature Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Wonka

 

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Comedy or Musical Feature Film

Winner: Asteroid City

Alternative: Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 12 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 05.02.2024 11:09 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

BEST STUDIO FILM SCORE

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

BEST INDEPENDENT FILM SCORE

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Alternative: American Symphony

 

BEST SONG FOR A MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: I'm Just Ken, Barbie

Alternative: What Was I Made For?, Barbie

 

BEST SONG FOR A DRAMA/DOCUMENTARY

Winner: It Never Went Away, American Symphony

Alternative: Road to Freedom, Rustin

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 12 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 05.02.2024 11:13 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Лучший фильм

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Лучший режиссер

Winner: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

 

Лучший оригинальный сценарий

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Holdovers

 

Лучший адаптированный сценарий

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Oppenheimer

 

Лучшая мужская роль

Winner: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

 

Лучшая женская роль

Winner: Emma Stone, Poor Things

Alternative: Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fal

 

Лучшая мужская роль второго плана

Winner: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Alternative: Ryan Gosling, Barbie

 

Лучшая женская роль второго плана

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Alternative: Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

 

Лучший анимационный фильм

Winner: The Boy and the Heron

Alternative: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

Лучший фильм на иностранном языке

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

 

Лучший документальный фильм

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Beyond Utopia

 

Лучший монтаж

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Anatomy of a Fall

 

Лучшая операторская работа

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Лучшая музыка к фильму

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Лучшее художественное оформление

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Barbie

 

Лучшие костюмы

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Barbie

 

Лучшие визуальные эффекты

Winner: The Creator

Alternative: Napoleon

 

Лучший грим и прическа

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Maestro

 

Лучший звук

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Alternative: Oppenheimer

 

Лучший кастинг

Winner: The Holdovers

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Лучший британский фильм

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

 

Лучший дебют британского писателя, режиссера, продюсера

Winner: How to Have Sex

Alternative: Earth Mama

 

Лучший британский короткометражный фильм

Winner: Yellow

Alternative: Jellyfish and Lobster

 

Лучший британский анимационный короткометражный фильм

Winner: Wild Summon

Alternative: Crab Day

 

Восходящая звезда (EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public))

Winner: Jacob Elordi

Alternative: Ayo Edebiri

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 17 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

СПИСОК НОМИНАНТОВ.

Изменено 17.02.2024 15:08 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Best Contemporary Make-Up

Winner: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Alternative: Nyad

 

Best Contemporary Hair Styling

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Nyad

 

Best Period and/or Character Make-Up

Winner: Maestro

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Best Period Hair Styling and/or Character Hair Styling

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Maestro

 

Best Special Make-Up Effects

Winner: Maestro

Alternative: Poor Things

 

 

Прогнозы по 14 этапу принимаются до 17 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 15.02.2024 10:31 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Excellence in Contemporary Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternate: American Fiction

 

Excellence in Period Film

Winner: Poor Things

Alternate: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Excellence in Sci-Fi/Fantasy Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternate: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes

 

 

Прогнозы по 15 этапу принимаются до 20 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 17.02.2024 09:56 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Outstanding Visual Effects in a Photoreal Feature

Winner: The Creator

Alternative: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

 

Outstanding Supporting Visual Effects in a Photoreal Feature

Winner: Napoleon

Alternative: Society of the Snow

 

Outstanding Visual Effects in an Animated Feature

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: Elemental

 

 

Прогнозы по 16 этапу принимаются до 20 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 19.02.2024 12:42 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Best Original Screenplay

1. Barbie

2. The Holdovers

3. Past Lives

4. Maestro

5. May December

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. American Fiction

2. Oppenheimer

3. Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret

5. The Color Purple

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 20 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 12.02.2024 08:21 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Лучший актерский ансамбль:

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternate: American Fiction

 

Лучшая мужская главная роль:

Winner: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

Alternate: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

 

Лучшая женская главная роль:

Winner: Emma Stone, Poor Things

Alternate: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Лучшая мужская роль второго плана:

Winner: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Alternate: Ryan Gosling, Barbie

 

Лучшая женская роль второго плана:

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Alternate: Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

 

Лучший каскадёрский ансамбль:

Winner: Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

Alternative: John Wick: Chapter 4

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 23 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 22.02.2024 17:19 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures (PGA)

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: The Holdovers

 

Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures (PGA)

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: The Boy and the Heron

 

Outstanding Producer of Documentary Theatrical Motion Pictures (PGA)

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Beyond Utopia

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 24 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 19.02.2024 13:52 пользователем ORANGE'71

[ORANGE'71]

Best Feature

Winner: Past Lives

Alternative: American Fiction

 

Best Director

Winner: Celine Song, Past Lives

Alternative: Andrew Haigh, All of Us Strangers

 

Best Lead Performance

Winner: Greta Lee, Past Lives

Alternative: Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers

 

Best Supporting Performance

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Alternative: Charles Melton, May December

 

Best Breakthrough Performance

Winner: Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers

Alternative: Tia Nomore, Earth Mama

 

Best Screenplay

Winner: American Fiction

Alternative: Past Lives

 

Best First Feature

Winner: A Thousand and One

Alternative: All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt

 

Best First Screenplay

Winner: May December

Alternative: Theater Camp

 

Best Documentary Feature

Winner: Four Daughters

Alternative: Kokomo City

 

Best International Film

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

 

Best Cinematography

Winner: All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt

Alternative: The Holdovers

 

Best Editing

Winner: How to Blow Up a Pipeline

Alternative: Theater Camp

 

John Cassavetes Award

Winner: Fremont

Alternative: The Unknown Country

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 24 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 23.02.2024 17:44 пользователем ORANGE'71

[master_jet]

Best Original Screenplay:

 

1. The Holdovers

2. Past Lives

3. Anatomy of a Fall

4. Maestro

5. May December

 

Best Adapted Screenplay:

 

1. Barbie

2. Oppenheimer

3. American Fiction

4. Poor Things

5. Killers of the Flower Moon

 

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 20 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

[ORANGE'71]

WGA Rules Out Potential Oscar Nominees ‘Anatomy Of A Fall’, ‘Poor Things’, ‘Zone Of Interest’, ‘All Of Us Strangers’, Places ‘Barbie’ In Original Screenplay On Ballot

[drongoryachiy]

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film

Winner: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film

Winner: Celine Song, Past Lives

Alternative: Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

[KANe Rock]

Period Film

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Fantasy Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Contemporary Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Beau is Afraid

 

Animated Film

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: The Boy and the Heron

[KANe Rock]

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film

Winner: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film

Winner: Celine Song, Past Lives

Alternative: Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

 

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

Winner: Mstyslav Chernov, 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Davis Guggenheim, Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

[azerius]

11 Этап: Прогнозы победителей Set Decorators Society of America Awards (SDSA)

 

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Contemporary Feature Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One

 

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Period Feature Film

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Oppenheimer

 

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Science Fiction or Fantasy Feature Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Wonka

 

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Comedy or Musical Feature Film

Winner: Asteroid City

Alternative: The Little Mermaid

 

12 Этап Прогнозы победителей Society of Composers & Lyricists Awards (SCL)

 

BEST STUDIO FILM SCORE

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

BEST INDEPENDENT FILM SCORE

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Alternative: American Symphony

 

BEST SONG FOR A MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: “I’m Just Ken” (“Barbie”)

Alternative: “What Was I Made For?” (“Barbie”)

 

BEST SONG FOR A DRAMA/DOCUMENTARY

Winner: “It Never Went Away” (“American Symphony”)

Alternative: “Road to Freedom” (“Rustin”)

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 12 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

[azerius]

Прогнозы победителей British Academy Film Awards (BAFTA)

 

 

Лучший фильм

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Лучший режиссер

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Anatomy of a Fall

 

Лучший оригинальный сценарий

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Holdovers

 

Лучший адаптированный сценарий

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Oppenheimer

 

Лучшая мужская роль

Winner: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

 

Лучшая женская роль

Winner: Emma Stone, Poor Things

Alternative: Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fal

 

Лучшая мужская роль второго плана

Winner: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Alternative: Ryan Gosling, Barbie

 

Лучшая женская роль второго плана

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Alternative: Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

 

Лучший анимационный фильм

Winner: The Boy and the Heron

Alternative: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

Лучший фильм на иностранном языке

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

 

Лучший документальный фильм

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Beyond Utopia

 

Лучший монтаж

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Anatomy of a Fall

 

Лучшая операторская работа

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Лучшая музыка к фильму

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Лучшее художественное оформление

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Barbie

 

Лучшие костюмы

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Barbie

 

Лучшие визуальные эффекты

Winner: The Creator

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Лучший грим и прическа

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Maestro

 

Лучший звук

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

 

Лучший кастинг

Winner: The Holdovers

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

 

Лучший британский фильм

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

 

Лучший дебют британского писателя, режиссера, продюсера

Winner: How to Have Sex

Alternative: Earth Mama

 

Лучший британский короткометражный фильм

Winner: Yellow

Alternative: Jellyfish and Lobster

 

Лучший британский анимационный короткометражный фильм

Winner: Wild Summon

Alternative: Crab Day

 

Восходящая звезда (EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public))

Winner: Jacob Elordi

Alternative: Ayo Edebiri

 

Прогнозы принимаются до 17 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Изменено 17.02.2024 17:49 пользователем azerius

[azerius]

14 Этап: Прогнозы победителей Make-Up Artists and Hair Stylists Guild Awards (MUAH)

 

Best Contemporary Make-Up

Winner: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Alternative: Nyad

 

Best Contemporary Hair Styling

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Nyad

 

Best Period and/or Character Make-Up

Winner: Maestro

Alternative: Poor Things

 

Best Period Hair Styling and/or Character Hair Styling

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: The Color Purple

 

Best Special Make-Up Effects

Winner: Maestro

Alternative: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

 

Прогнозы по 14 этапу принимаются до 17 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

[azerius]

ADG

 

Lynx_lynx - 150

Andrewx - 110

subic - 110

ORANGE'71 - 110

KANe Rock - 110

azerius - 110

 

Не участвовали, но получают баллы по последнему месту - 10 баллов штрафа.

 

drongoryachiy - 100

_Skywalker_ - 100

Генрих - 100

Oberyn - 100

master_jet - 100

Константино - 100

Jdalker - 100

 

DGA

 

Andrewx - 120

Lynx_lynx - 120

subic - 120

ORANGE'71 - 120

drongoryachiy - 120

KANe Rock - 120

azerius - 120

master_jet - 60

 

Не участвовали, но получают баллы по последнему месту - 10 баллов штрафа.

 

_Skywalker_ - 50

Генрих - 50

Oberyn - 50

Константино - 50

Jdalker - 50