Прогнозы по кинонаградам Оскаровского сезона 2023-2024

BEST STUDIO FILM SCORE

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

BEST INDEPENDENT FILM SCORE

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Alternative: American Symphony

BEST SONG FOR A MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: What Was I Made For?

Alternative: I’m Just Ken

BEST SONG FOR A DRAMA/DOCUMENTARY

Winner: It Never Went Away

Alternative: Road to Freedom

12.02.2024

Best Feature

Winner: Past Lives

Alternative: American Fiction

Best Director

Winner: Celine Song

Alternative: Todd Haynes

Best Lead Performance

Winner: Greta Lee

Alternative: Jeffrey Wright

Best Supporting Performance

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph

Alternative: Charles Melton

Best Breakthrough Performance

Winner: Dominic Sessa

Alternative: Tia Nomore

Best Screenplay

Winner: Past Lives

Alternative: American Fiction

Best First Feature

Winner: A Thousand and One

Alternative: Earth Mama

Best First Screenplay

Winner: May December

Alternative: Upon Entry

Best Documentary Feature

Winner: Four Daughters

Alternative: The Mother of All Lies

Best International Film

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

Best Cinematography

Winner: All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt

Alternative: The Holdovers

Best Editing

Winner: How to Blow Up a Pipeline

Alternative: Upon Entry

John Cassavetes Award

Winner: The Unknown Country

Alternative: Fremont

24.02.2024

Этап 9. Прогнозы победителей Art Directors Guild Awards (ADG)

Period Film

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

Fantasy Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Poor Things

Contemporary Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

Animated Film

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: The Boy and the Heron

09 февраля 23:59

10 Этап: Прогнозы победителей Directors Guild of America Awards (DGA)

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film

Winner: Christopher Nolan

Alternative: Yorgos Lanthimos

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film

Winner: Celine Song

Alternative: Cord Jefferson

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

09 февраля 23:59

Period Film

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

Fantasy Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Poor Things

Contemporary Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

Animated Film

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: The Boy and the Heron

Прогнозы принимаются до 09 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film

Winner: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film

Winner: Celine Song, Past Lives

Alternative: Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

Прогнозы принимаются до 09 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Contemporary Feature Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Period Feature Film

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Oppenheimer

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Science Fiction or Fantasy Feature Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Wonka

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Comedy or Musical Feature Film

Winner: Asteroid City

Alternative: Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret

Прогнозы принимаются до 12 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

BEST STUDIO FILM SCORE

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

BEST INDEPENDENT FILM SCORE

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Alternative: American Symphony

BEST SONG FOR A MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: I'm Just Ken, Barbie

Alternative: What Was I Made For?, Barbie

BEST SONG FOR A DRAMA/DOCUMENTARY

Winner: It Never Went Away, American Symphony

Alternative: Road to Freedom, Rustin

Прогнозы принимаются до 12 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Лучший фильм

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

Лучший режиссер

Winner: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

Лучший оригинальный сценарий

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Holdovers

Лучший адаптированный сценарий

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Oppenheimer

Лучшая мужская роль

Winner: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

Лучшая женская роль

Winner: Emma Stone, Poor Things

Alternative: Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fal

Лучшая мужская роль второго плана

Winner: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Alternative: Ryan Gosling, Barbie

Лучшая женская роль второго плана

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Alternative: Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

Лучший анимационный фильм

Winner: The Boy and the Heron

Alternative: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Лучший фильм на иностранном языке

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

Лучший документальный фильм

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Beyond Utopia

Лучший монтаж

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Anatomy of a Fall

Лучшая операторская работа

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

Лучшая музыка к фильму

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

Лучшее художественное оформление

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Barbie

Лучшие костюмы

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Barbie

Лучшие визуальные эффекты

Winner: The Creator

Alternative: Napoleon

Лучший грим и прическа

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Maestro

Лучший звук

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Alternative: Oppenheimer

Лучший кастинг

Winner: The Holdovers

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

Лучший британский фильм

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

Лучший дебют британского писателя, режиссера, продюсера

Winner: How to Have Sex

Alternative: Earth Mama

Лучший британский короткометражный фильм

Winner: Yellow

Alternative: Jellyfish and Lobster

Лучший британский анимационный короткометражный фильм

Winner: Wild Summon

Alternative: Crab Day

Восходящая звезда (EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public))

Winner: Jacob Elordi

Alternative: Ayo Edebiri

Прогнозы принимаются до 17 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

СПИСОК НОМИНАНТОВ.

Best Contemporary Make-Up

Winner: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Alternative: Nyad

Best Contemporary Hair Styling

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Nyad

Best Period and/or Character Make-Up

Winner: Maestro

Alternative: Poor Things

Best Period Hair Styling and/or Character Hair Styling

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Maestro

Best Special Make-Up Effects

Winner: Maestro

Alternative: Poor Things

Прогнозы по 14 этапу принимаются до 17 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Excellence in Contemporary Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternate: American Fiction

Excellence in Period Film

Winner: Poor Things

Alternate: Killers of the Flower Moon

Excellence in Sci-Fi/Fantasy Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternate: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes

Прогнозы по 15 этапу принимаются до 20 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Outstanding Visual Effects in a Photoreal Feature

Winner: The Creator

Alternative: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Outstanding Supporting Visual Effects in a Photoreal Feature

Winner: Napoleon

Alternative: Society of the Snow

Outstanding Visual Effects in an Animated Feature

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: Elemental

Прогнозы по 16 этапу принимаются до 20 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Best Original Screenplay

1. Barbie

2. The Holdovers

3. Past Lives

4. Maestro

5. May December

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. American Fiction

2. Oppenheimer

3. Killers of the Flower Moon

4. Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret

5. The Color Purple

Прогнозы принимаются до 20 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Лучший актерский ансамбль:

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternate: American Fiction

Лучшая мужская главная роль:

Winner: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

Alternate: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Лучшая женская главная роль:

Winner: Emma Stone, Poor Things

Alternate: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

Лучшая мужская роль второго плана:

Winner: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Alternate: Ryan Gosling, Barbie

Лучшая женская роль второго плана:

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Alternate: Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

Лучший каскадёрский ансамбль:

Winner: Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

Alternative: John Wick: Chapter 4

Прогнозы принимаются до 23 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures (PGA)

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: The Holdovers

Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures (PGA)

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: The Boy and the Heron

Outstanding Producer of Documentary Theatrical Motion Pictures (PGA)

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Beyond Utopia

Прогнозы принимаются до 24 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Best Feature

Winner: Past Lives

Alternative: American Fiction

Best Director

Winner: Celine Song, Past Lives

Alternative: Andrew Haigh, All of Us Strangers

Best Lead Performance

Winner: Greta Lee, Past Lives

Alternative: Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers

Best Supporting Performance

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Alternative: Charles Melton, May December

Best Breakthrough Performance

Winner: Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers

Alternative: Tia Nomore, Earth Mama

Best Screenplay

Winner: American Fiction

Alternative: Past Lives

Best First Feature

Winner: A Thousand and One

Alternative: All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt

Best First Screenplay

Winner: May December

Alternative: Theater Camp

Best Documentary Feature

Winner: Four Daughters

Alternative: Kokomo City

Best International Film

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

Best Cinematography

Winner: All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt

Alternative: The Holdovers

Best Editing

Winner: How to Blow Up a Pipeline

Alternative: Theater Camp

John Cassavetes Award

Winner: Fremont

Alternative: The Unknown Country

Прогнозы принимаются до 24 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Best Original Screenplay:

1. The Holdovers

2. Past Lives

3. Anatomy of a Fall

4. Maestro

5. May December

Best Adapted Screenplay:

1. Barbie

2. Oppenheimer

3. American Fiction

4. Poor Things

5. Killers of the Flower Moon

Прогнозы принимаются до 20 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film

Winner: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film

Winner: Celine Song, Past Lives

Alternative: Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

Period Film

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

Fantasy Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Poor Things

Contemporary Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Beau is Afraid

Animated Film

Winner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Alternative: The Boy and the Heron

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Feature Film

Winner: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in First-Time Feature Film

Winner: Celine Song, Past Lives

Alternative: Cord Jefferson, American Fiction

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Documentary

Winner: Mstyslav Chernov, 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Davis Guggenheim, Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

11 Этап: Прогнозы победителей Set Decorators Society of America Awards (SDSA)

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Contemporary Feature Film

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Period Feature Film

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Oppenheimer

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Science Fiction or Fantasy Feature Film

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: Wonka

Best Achievement in Decor/Design of a Comedy or Musical Feature Film

Winner: Asteroid City

Alternative: The Little Mermaid

12 Этап Прогнозы победителей Society of Composers & Lyricists Awards (SCL)

BEST STUDIO FILM SCORE

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

BEST INDEPENDENT FILM SCORE

Winner: The Zone of Interest

Alternative: American Symphony

BEST SONG FOR A MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: “I’m Just Ken” (“Barbie”)

Alternative: “What Was I Made For?” (“Barbie”)

BEST SONG FOR A DRAMA/DOCUMENTARY

Winner: “It Never Went Away” (“American Symphony”)

Alternative: “Road to Freedom” (“Rustin”)

Прогнозы принимаются до 12 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

Прогнозы победителей British Academy Film Awards (BAFTA)

Лучший фильм

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

Лучший режиссер

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Anatomy of a Fall

Лучший оригинальный сценарий

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Holdovers

Лучший адаптированный сценарий

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Oppenheimer

Лучшая мужская роль

Winner: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Alternative: Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

Лучшая женская роль

Winner: Emma Stone, Poor Things

Alternative: Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fal

Лучшая мужская роль второго плана

Winner: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Alternative: Ryan Gosling, Barbie

Лучшая женская роль второго плана

Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Alternative: Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

Лучший анимационный фильм

Winner: The Boy and the Heron

Alternative: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Лучший фильм на иностранном языке

Winner: Anatomy of a Fall

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

Лучший документальный фильм

Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol

Alternative: Beyond Utopia

Лучший монтаж

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Anatomy of a Fall

Лучшая операторская работа

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

Лучшая музыка к фильму

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: Poor Things

Лучшее художественное оформление

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Barbie

Лучшие костюмы

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Barbie

Лучшие визуальные эффекты

Winner: The Creator

Alternative: Poor Things

Лучший грим и прическа

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: Maestro

Лучший звук

Winner: Oppenheimer

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

Лучший кастинг

Winner: The Holdovers

Alternative: Killers of the Flower Moon

Лучший британский фильм

Winner: Poor Things

Alternative: The Zone of Interest

Лучший дебют британского писателя, режиссера, продюсера

Winner: How to Have Sex

Alternative: Earth Mama

Лучший британский короткометражный фильм

Winner: Yellow

Alternative: Jellyfish and Lobster

Лучший британский анимационный короткометражный фильм

Winner: Wild Summon

Alternative: Crab Day

Восходящая звезда (EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public))

Winner: Jacob Elordi

Alternative: Ayo Edebiri

Прогнозы принимаются до 17 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

14 Этап: Прогнозы победителей Make-Up Artists and Hair Stylists Guild Awards (MUAH)

Best Contemporary Make-Up

Winner: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Alternative: Nyad

Best Contemporary Hair Styling

Winner: Saltburn

Alternative: Nyad

Best Period and/or Character Make-Up

Winner: Maestro

Alternative: Poor Things

Best Period Hair Styling and/or Character Hair Styling

Winner: Barbie

Alternative: The Color Purple

Best Special Make-Up Effects

Winner: Maestro

Alternative: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Прогнозы по 14 этапу принимаются до 17 февраля 23:59 по Московскому времени.

ADG

Lynx_lynx - 150

Andrewx - 110

subic - 110

ORANGE'71 - 110

KANe Rock - 110

azerius - 110

Не участвовали, но получают баллы по последнему месту - 10 баллов штрафа.

drongoryachiy - 100

_Skywalker_ - 100

Генрих - 100

Oberyn - 100

master_jet - 100

Константино - 100

Jdalker - 100

DGA

Andrewx - 120

Lynx_lynx - 120

subic - 120

ORANGE'71 - 120

drongoryachiy - 120

KANe Rock - 120

azerius - 120

master_jet - 60

Не участвовали, но получают баллы по последнему месту - 10 баллов штрафа.

_Skywalker_ - 50

Генрих - 50

Oberyn - 50

Константино - 50

Jdalker - 50