1. «Call Me by Your Name» 2. «The Square» 3. «Moonlight» 4. «Dunkirk»

Приз зрительских симпатий: 1. «The Shape of Water» 2. «Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri» 3. «Lady Bird» 4. «The Florida Project» 5. «I, Tonya» Секция «Платформа»: 1. «Sweet Country» 2. «Euphoria» 3. «Custody»

3 ТУР Прогнозы номинаций Европейской киноакадемии 2017: Лучший фильм (6) 1. Loveless 2. On Body and Soul 3. The Square 4. The Other Side of Hope 5. The Killing of a Sacred Deer 6. BPM (Beats Per Minute) (ALT: Happy End, Paradise. Frantz) Лучший режиссер (6) 1. Andrey Zvyagintsev - Loveless 2. Ildiko Enyedi - On Body and Soul 3. Ruben Ostlund - The Square 4. Aki Kaurismaki - The Other Side of Hope 5. Yorgos Lanthimos - The Killing of a Sacred Deer 6. Michael Haneke - Happy End ALT: Robin Campillo - BPM (Beats Per Minute); Andrey Konchalovskiy - Paradise; Francois Ozon - Frantz Лучший сценарист (6) 1. The Other Side of Hope 2. Loveless 3. On Body and Soul 4. The Square 5. The Killing of a Sacred Deer 6. Happy End ALT: BPM (Beats Per Minute); Paradise; Frantz. 4 ТУР Ранние прогнозы победителей Европейской киноакадемии 2017: Лучший фильм The Other Side of Hope Лучший режиссер Aki Kaurismaki - The Other Side of Hope Лучший сценарист The Killing of a Sacred Deer Лучший актер Claes Bang - The Square Лучшая актриса Yuliya Vysotskaya - Paradise Лучший оператор Loveless

Прогнозы номинаций Gotham Independent Film Awards 2017: Лучший фильм (5) Call Me by Your Name Mudbound Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri The Florida Project Lady Bird ALT - Get Out, A Ghost Story, The Big Sick, Good Time, Last Flag Flying Лучший сценарий (5) Call Me by Your Name Lady Bird Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri The Big Sick Get Out ALT - Mudbound, Lady Bird, The Florida Project, The Disaster Artist, A Ghost Story, Good Time, Last Flag Flying Лучший актер (5) Robert Pattinson - Good Time Armie Hammer - Call Me by Your Name Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project Steve Carell - Last Flag Flying ALT - Jason Mitchell - Mudbound, Timothee Chalamet - Call Me by Your Name, Joaquin Phoenix - You Were Never Really Here, Bryan Cranston - Last Flag Flying, Jeremy Renner - Wind River, James Franco - The Disaster Artist, Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out Лучшая актриса (5) Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Saorise Ronan - Lady Bird Margot Robbie - I, Tonya Brooklynn Prince - The Florida Project Annette Bening - Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool ALT - Carey Mulligan - Mudbound, Brooklynn Prince - The Florida Project

20 лучших фильмов 2017 года по версии Sight&Sound 1.Call Me by Your Name 2.Loveless 3.The Other Side of Hope 4.Dunkirk 5.On Body and Soul 6.The Square 7.Foxtrot 8.The Shape of Water 9.The Florida Project 10.Zama 11.Faces Places 12.Silence 13.A Fantastic Woman 14.Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 15.Lady Bird 16.The Killing of a Sacred Deer 17.mother! 18.The Woman Who Left 19.Get Out 20.Ex Libris: New York Public Library

Дедлайн продлеваться не будет? Они ведь не скоро еще объявят свой список номинантов.

Best Feature Call Me by Your Name Best Documentary Ex Libris: The New York Public Library Bingham Ray Breakthrough Director Jordan Peele – Get Out Best Screenplay Call Me by Your Name Best Actor Robert Pattinson – Good Time Best Actress Margot Robbie – I, Tonya Breakthrough Actor Timothee Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name

8 ТУР Прогнозы номинаций Critics' Choice Movie Awards 2017 Лучший фильм (10) Dunkirk Call Me By Your Name Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri Lady Bird Darkest Hour The Shape of Water The Post Get Out Mudbound The Florida Project Лучший режиссер (6) Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk Steven Spielberg, The Post Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird Jordan Peele, Get Out Лучший актер (6) Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name Tom Hanks, The Post James Franco, The Disaster Artist Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out Лучшая актриса (6) Margot Robbie, I, Tonya Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water Frances McDormand, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri Meryl Streep, The Post Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game Лучший оператор (6) Blade Runner 2049 Dunkirk The Shape of Water Darkest Hour Wonder Wheel The Post

Прогнозы списка лучших фильмов Американского института кино AFI 2017 Dunkirk Call Me By Your Name The Post Mudbound The Florida Project Lady Bird Wonder Woman The Shape of Water Get Out Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

BEST EUROPEAN FILM The Square BEST EUROPEAN DIRECTOR Ruben Ostlund - The Square BEST EUROPEAN ACTOR Claes Bang - The Square BEST EUROPEAN ACTRESS Alexandra Borbely - On Body and Soul BEST EUROPEAN SCREENWRITER Loveless BEST EUROPEAN COMEDY The Square BEST EUROPEAN DOCUMENTARY Austerlitz BEST EUROPEAN ANIMATED FEATURE Loving Vincent FIPRESCI PRIZE – BEST EUROPEAN DISCOVERY Lady Macbeth BEST EUROPEAN SHORT FILM Timecode PEOPLE'S CHOCE AWARD FOR BEST EUROPEAN FILM Frantz

Недооценил шансы "Get Out", слишком низко поставил его в своем прогнозе. В общем за один тур практически похоронил свои шансы, такой разрыв в баллах будет тяжело сократить, хет-трик уже не сделаю)

Проголосовал за WAFCA, BSFC и KCFCCA. На премиях критиков можно больше баллов заработать и прогнозировать их интереснее, чем гильдии и Бафту из опроса.

Best British Independent Film Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Director Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Actor Jamie Bell - Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool Best Actress Florence Pugh - Lady Macbeth Best Supporting Actor Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Supporting Actress Patricia Clarkson - The Party Best Screenplay Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Documentary Williams Best International Independent Film Get Out

Best Film Get Out Best Director Dunkirk Best Actor Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour Best Actress Meryl Streep - The Post Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project Best Supporting Actress Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird Best Acting Ensemble Dunkirk Best Youth Performance Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project) Best Original Screenplay Get Out Best Adapted Screenplay Call Me by Your Name Best Animated Film Coco Best Documentar Jane Best Foreign Language Film BPM (Beats Per Minute) Best Production Design Blade Runner 2049 Best Cinematography Blade Runner 2049 Best Editing Dunkirk Best Original Score Dunkirk

Горький опыт с прогнозами "Sight & Sound" чему-то научил меня. Жаль, что результаты WAFCA не пойдут в общий зачет, сократил бы свое отставание от лидирующей тройки сейчас прилично)

12 ТУР Прогнозы победителей Boston Society of Film Critics (BSFC) Best Picture Call Me By Your Name Best Director Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread Best Actress Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project Best Supporting Actress Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird Best Screenplay Get Out Best Cinematography Blade Runner 2049 Best Documentary Faces Places Best Foreign-Language Film BPM (Beats Per Minute) Best Animated Film Coco Best Film Editing Dunkirk Best New Filmmaker Jordan Peele, Get Out Best Ensemble Cast Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Use of Music in a Film Baby Driver

Неплохой результат. Еще бы завтра с прогнозом на BIFA в лужу не сесть, её гораздо сложнее прогнозировать. Пока мне не поддается.

BIFA мне всегда трудно давалась, но в этот раз была обыкновенная угадайка, можно было не ломать голову над прогнозом, а просто "методом тыка" воспользоваться. Даже в прошлые годы не было такого. Результаты большинства участников только подтверждают мои слова)

Победител CFCA Best Film Call Me By Your Name Best Director Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread Best Actress Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project Best Supporting Actress Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird Best Original Screenplay Get Out Best Adapted Screenplay Call My By Your Name Best Animated Film Coco Best Documentary Kedi Best Foreign Language Film The Square Best Art Direction Blade Runner 2049 Best Editing Dunkirk Best Original Score Phantom Thread Best Cinematography Dunkirk Breakthrough Performer Brooklynn Prince, The Florida Project Breakthrough Filmmaker Jordan Peele, Get Out Победители KCFCCA Best Film Dunkirk/Call Me by Your Name Best Director Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk/ Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread/Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour Best Actress Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird/ Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project/Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Supporting Actress Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird/Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread Best Original Screenplay Phantom Thread/Get Out Best Adapted Screenplay Call Me by Your Name/Molly's Game Best Documentary Faces Places/Jane Best Foreign Language Film The Square/Beats Per Minute Film Best Animated Film Coco/The Breadwinner

Победители LVFCSA Best Picture Lady Bird/Dunkirk Best Actor Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread/Timothee Chalamet, Call Me byYour Name Best Actress Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird/Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water Best Supporting Actor Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project/Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri Best Supporting Actress Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird/Allison Janney, I, Tonya Best Director Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk/ Paul Thomas Anderson, Phanton Thread Best Adapted Screenplay Call My by Your Name/Molly’s Game Best Original Screenplay Lady Bird/Get Out Best Cinematography Blade Runner 2049/Dunkirk Best Film Editing Dunkirk/Baby Driver Best Score Phantom Thread/Blade Runner 2049 Best Song “Beauty and the Beast” (“Evermore”)/ “Coco” (“Remember Me”) Best Action Film Wonder Woman/Logan Best Documentary Faces Places/Jane Best Animated Film Coco/The LEGO Batman Movie Best Foreign Language Film The Square/BPM Best Costume Beauty and the Beast/Phantom Thread Best Art Direction Blade Runner 2049/The Shape of Water Best Visual Effects Blade Runner 2049/Star Wars: The Last Jedi Best Comedy The Big Sick/The Disaster Artist Best Horror/Sci-Fi Get Out/Blade Runner 2049 Best Family Film Coco/The LEGO Batman Movie Best Ensemble Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri/Get Out Breakout Filmmaker Jordan Peele, Get Out/Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird Youth in Film Timothee Chalamet, Call Me byYour Name/Brooklyn Prince, The Florida Project

Best Film 1.Phantom Thread 2.Call Me By Your Name 3.Get Out Best Director 1.Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread 2.Luca Guadagnino, Call Me by Your Name 3.Guillermo Del Toro, Shape of Water Best Actor 1.Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name 2.Daniel Day Lewis, Phantom Thread 3.Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour Best Actress 1.Soairse Ronan, Lady Bird 2.Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 3.Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water Best Supporting Actor 1.Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 2.Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 3.Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name Best Supporting Actress 1.Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird 2.Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread 3.Alison Janney, I Tonya Best Screenplay 1.Phantom Thread 2.Get Out 3.Call Me By Your Name Best Cinematography 1.Blade Runner 2049 2.Dunkirk 3.The Shape of Water Best Non-Fiction Film 1.Faces Places 2.Jane 3.Ex Libris Best Foreign Language Film 1.The Square 2.BPM 3.Loveless

BEST PICTURE Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri BEST DIRECTOR Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water BEST ACTOR Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour BEST ACTRESS Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Allison Janney – I, Tonya BEST YOUNG ACTOR/ACTRESS Brooklynn Prince – The Florida Project BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Call Me by Your Name BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Blade Runner 2049 BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN (Art Direction) Blade Runner 2049 BEST EDITING Dunkirk BEST COSTUME DESIGN Beauty and the Beast BEST HAIR & MAKEUP Darkest Hour BEST VISUAL EFFECTS War for the Planet of the Apes BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Coco BEST ACTION MOVIE Wonder Woman BEST SCI-FI/HORROR MOVIE The Shape of Water BEST COMEDY Lady Bird BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY James Franco – The Disaster Artist BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM The Square BEST SONG "Remember Me" – Coco BEST SCORE The Shape of Water

Надо было ставить на Форму воды, он раннер-аппом у меня шел, не решился, поздравляю тех немногих, которые указали ФВ в лучшем фильме. Ну и зря сдалал пару-тройку лишних перестановок в других номинациях. Маячки подтвердились - Гет Аут и Леди Бёрд не взяли приз за лучший фильм. Теперь главная задача не провалить прогнозы "International Cinephile Society", так как там все что угодно может произойти, попробую взять реванш за прошлый год.

Да, видел. Но побеждало же и не раз. К тому же у него были важные маячки, которых не было у Гет Аута и Леди Бёрд, рекордное количество номинаций для данной церемонии и в принципе для меня не стала его победа большой неожиданностью, еще до церемонии писал, что он у меня на втором месте идет. Не сложно было предположить, что фильм им сильно зашел.

Причем здесь Оскар. Дело не только в количестве номинаций. Для меня Форма воды был главным противником Билбордов на Критик чойс ввиду отсутствия шансов у Леди Бёрд и Гет аут, уже писал почему. Во многом поставил на Билборды, так как на Оскаре шансов у Формы воды не вижу, ну и ЗГ свою роль сыграл.